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September 8, 2025

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Deepanshu Kaushik, a 28-year-old account executive, is trapped in a punishing EMI cycle.

With a monthly salary of ₹40,000, nearly half, about ₹18,000, vanishes on EMIs for personal loans and credit cards, leaving too little to cover rent, groceries, school fees, and medical needs for his wife and daughter.

Unexpected expenses push him to borrow more, deepening his debt. His shrinking budget and rising obligations leave him constantly anxious, unable to save or plan ahead.

Every month, the need to meet past commitments forces new compromises, keeping Deepanshu perpetually stuck and worried about the future.

India’s middle class is increasingly suffocated by a silent epidemic: easy credit has become a double-edged sword, pushing families into a worsening “EMI trap.”

Household debts have soared, defaults are mounting, and a string of newsworthy suicides highlights how financial distress has transformed into a quiet social crisis.

The debt spiral: Data speaks

India’s household debt has reached record heights, now sitting at approximately 48.6% of GDP as of March 2025, up sharply from 32% in 2019 and 41.9% just last year.

The per capita debt for individual borrowers is a staggering ₹4.8 lakh, representing a 23% increase in just two years.

This escalation is driven by a consumption-fueled lending boom; credit cards, small personal loans, and “Buy Now Pay Later” (BNPL) schemes have rapidly proliferated, enticing families with the promise of quick, frictionless borrowing.

The consequences are dire for the middle class.

As much as 33% of monthly salaries are being diverted to EMI repayments, squeezing budgets for essentials like food, healthcare, and children’s education.

Shockingly, 45% of middle-class families now spend over 40% of their income just servicing debt, a threshold widely recognized by financial experts as a warning sign for acute distress.

​Defaults and delinquencies: The growing crack

The surge in borrowing is accompanied by an alarming uptick in defaults and credit card delinquencies.

Loans overdue by more than 90 days spiked to 3.6% in March 2025, up from 3.3% last year, with the default rate among young and rural borrowers particularly high.

Delinquencies in credit card repayments have shot up to 7.6% as of June 2024, and the non-performing asset (NPA) ratio for credit cards rose by 28.4% within a year.

Personal loans under ₹10,000 are seeing the sharpest pains, with default rates jumping by 44% from late 2023 to mid-2024.

In Tier 3 towns and rural India, loan defaults touched a six-quarter high, and over-burdened borrowers with scant financial literacy are most vulnerable.

The human toll

Behind these staggering statistics are real tragedies. In Karnataka alone, at least 17 people died by suicide in the first three months of 2025 due to harassment by microfinance lenders.

Across the country, studies now attribute 19% of suicides to financial distress, with 90% of those victims holding debts.

Recent months have seen a grim litany of cases: a newly-married man in Andhra Pradesh died by suicide over a mere ₹2,000 instant loan, while a young manager in Jhansi ended his life under the pressure of EMI recovery targets.

Even mass family tragedies, suspected to stem from overwhelming loan obligations, are becoming more visible in national headlines.

The lending boom: A dangerous growth

The personal loan market is exploding from $8.34 billion in FY2024 to a projected $54 billion by FY2032, growing over 26.5% annually.

Non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) are aggressively expanding in small-ticket lending, sometimes to borrowers with little credit history, creating conditions ripe for over-borrowing and cascading defaults.

Pradeep Saini, a senior bank executive spoke with Invezz and explained how EMIs have revolutionized loan sales strategies.

“Monthly EMIs make it much easier for customers to say yes to loans as they see the affordability of a small monthly outgo, not the long-term cost,” he says.

According to Pradeep, banks now actively push EMI-based products because they simplify achieving loan disbursal targets.

The real advantage for banks, he reveals, lies in the higher total interest accumulated from long-term, small-ticket EMIs compared to bigger, shorter-tenure loans, making EMIs a win-win for sales targets and profitability.

Why the trap is so dangerous

For India’s middle class, aspirations increasingly ride on borrowed funds: from education to smartphones, cars to homes.

But no financial cushion exists if jobs are lost or income slips.

Households, squeezed by stagnant wages and persistent inflation, find easy credit too tempting to ignore, only to be choked by EMI commitments when “minimum due” becomes a mountain.

Digital lending apps and buy-now-pay-later services have exploded in popularity over the past few years, offering quick loans and easy credit with just a few taps. 

But for many borrowers, especially those new to credit, there’s little understanding of the risks involved and even less protection from reckless lending practices.

The Reserve Bank of India has started to step in, tightening rules around unsecured loans, while a few state governments are cracking down on coercive collection methods. 

Still, much of the responsibility rests with lenders to prevent borrowers from spiraling into debt, and with policymakers to ensure people are better informed and supported.

The middle class, long seen as the backbone of economic progress, now faces an uncomfortable reality. 

The promise of instant credit, without proper checks and guidance, risks turning a tool of empowerment into one of financial strain, where the road to opportunity might instead lead to uncertainty and stress.

The post The EMI trap: how easy credit is silently crushing India’s middle class appeared first on Invezz

It’s been a historic week for precious metals, with gold nearly hitting the US$3,600 per ounce mark, and silver passing US$41 per ounce for the first time since 2011.

The gold price spent the summer in a consolidation phase, and part of what’s spurring its latest move is expectations that the US Federal Reserve will lower interest rates at its next meeting.

The central bank has held rates steady since December 2024, even as President Donald Trump places increasing pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut.

Powell’s August 22 speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, began stoking anticipation of a cut, and August US jobs data, released on Friday (September 5), has all but guaranteed it will happen.

Non-farm payrolls were up by 22,000, significantly lower than the 75,000 expected by economists. Meanwhile, the country’s unemployment rate came in at 4.3 percent.

CME Group’s (NASDAQ:CME) FedWatch tool now shows a 90.2 percent probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with a 9.8 percent probability of a 50 basis point reduction.

Bond market turmoil also helped move the gold price this week.

Yields for 30 year US bonds rose to nearly 5 percent midway through the period, their highest level since mid-July, on the back of a variety of concerns, including tariffs, inflation and Fed independence.

Globally the situation was even more tumultuous, with 30 year UK bond yields reaching their highest point since 1998; meanwhile, 30 year bond yields for German, French and Dutch bonds rose to levels not seen since 2011. In Japan, 30 year bond yields hit a record high.

Tariff developments have also created uncertainty this past week.

After an appeals court upheld a ruling that many of Trump’s tariffs are illegal, the president’s administration asked the Supreme Court to fast track its review of the decision.

Going back to gold and silver, their recent price activity is certainly raising questions about what’s next. The broad consensus among the experts focused on the sector is positive, but the metals are beginning to get more mainstream attention too.

Notably, investment bank Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) now has a gold price prediction of US$4,000 by mid-2026, although the firm notes that the yellow metal could rise to nearly US$5,000 if just 1 percent of private investors shift from treasuries to gold.

‘If 1 per cent of the privately owned US Treasury market were to flow to gold, the gold price would rise to nearly $5,000 per troy ounce’ — Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs

Bullet briefing — Hoffman on gold, Hathaway on silver

It’s been a short week, at least in North America, so instead of the usual news stories this bullet briefing will highlight a couple of my favorite recent interviews.

Nothing in gold’s path

First is Ken Hoffman of Red Cloud Securities. It was my first time speaking with Hoffman, and he made a compelling case for how gold could get to US$10,000.

Watch the full interview with Hoffman above.

Silver a ‘smouldering volcano’

Next is John Hathaway of Sprott. He shared what he thinks will be the trigger for gold’s next move higher — a major decline in equities — but he also discussed his bullish outlook on silver, which moved past US$40 not long after our interview.

Watch the full interview with Hathaway above.

We’re definitely entering uncharted territory right now, and I want to make sure I bring you commentary from the experts you want to hear from — drop a comment below to let me know who you’d like me to talk to, and also what questions you have.

Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

President Donald Trump issued his ‘last warning’ to Hamas to either release the remaining hostages or face the consequences.

‘Everyone wants the hostages HOME. Everyone wants this War to end,’ Trump wrote on Truth Social. ‘The Israelis have accepted my Terms. It is time for Hamas to accept as well.’

‘I have warned Hamas about the consequences of not accepting,’ he continued. ‘This is my last warning, there will not be another one! Thank you for your attention to this matter.’

Last month, Trump said the remaining hostages would only be returned when Hamas is ‘confronted and destroyed.’ At the time, Hamas was citing alleged progress in ceasefire talks.

In July, the U.S. and Israel pulled negotiators from Qatar after Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff said Hamas showed a ‘lack of desire to reach a ceasefire’ and was likely not negotiating in good faith.

On Aug. 26, Witkoff told Fox News’ Bret Baier on ‘Special Report’ that he and Trump wanted the hostages home that week. 

‘There’s been a deal on the table for the last six or seven weeks that would have released 10 of the hostages out of the 20 who we think are alive,’ he said, noting that he believes Hamas is ‘100%’ to blame for the hold-up.

Witkoff did not elaborate on what is delaying the hostages’ return, nearly two years after they were taken in the Oct. 7, 2023, attack on Israel.

Fifty hostages continue to be held by Hamas, only 20 of whom are assessed to still be alive. 

Trump previously predicted in late August that there would be a ‘conclusive’ end to the war in Gaza within the next ‘two to three weeks,’ though he did not say how this would be accomplished. 

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has insisted that only a comprehensive ceasefire — one that ensures the return of all hostages and ends the war on Israel’s terms — will be considered.

Israel is preparing a new offensive in Gaza targeting Hamas, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said, as it expanded ground operations under Operation Gideon’s Chariots II.

IDF spokesperson Col. Avichay Adraee warned Palestinians in parts of Gaza City to leave ahead of an expected escalation. The warning included a map marking the area and highlighting one building the IDF planned to strike, citing ‘the presence of Hamas terrorist infrastructure inside or nearby.’

Fox News Digital’s Rachel Wolf and Danielle Wallace contributed to this report.

This post appeared first on FOX NEWS